VfL Bochum 0–1 Hertha BSC
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.04–0.64.
The brain read
VfL Bochum created the better chances — the xG read 1–0.6, with the shot count roughly even (13–11, 3–2 on target). VfL Bochum's finishing let them down — 0 from 1 xG despite 3 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 0–1 flatters Hertha BSC — on chances created, VfL Bochum shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Bochum or draw | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Double chance Hertha BSC or draw | 1.58 | 59.3% |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.1% |
| Draw no bet — VfL Bochum | 1.68 | 55.5% |
| Draw no bet — Hertha BSC | 2.09 | 44.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.69 | 34.9% |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals | 2.00 | 46.6% |
| Hertha BSC over 1.5 team goals | 2.31 | 40.3% |
| VfL Bochum clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% |
| Hertha BSC clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.33 · 2-1 8.42 · 1-0 9.04 · 1-2 9.71 · 0-1 10.23
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-07 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 26 | Hertha BSC | 1-1 | VfL Bochum |
| 18 Oct 25 | VfL Bochum | 3-2 | Hertha BSC |