Draw Radar
Nobody backs the draw.
It's the one we read best.
The draw is the result punters avoid and bookmakers price loosest — and it is our model's best-calibrated market, by a distance (the proof). So here are the upcoming matches the model rates likeliest to end level, its draw probability against the market's. Not tips — a lean into the one thing the model demonstrably does well.
| Kick-off | Fixture | League | Model draw % | Market draw % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 08 Nov 14:00 | Virtus Entella v Modena | Serie B | 33% | — |
| Sat 07 Nov 12:30 | Portsmouth v Stoke City | Championship | 31% | — |
| Tue 03 Nov 19:45 | Blackburn v Stoke City | Championship | 31% | 29% |
| Sun 08 Nov 15:30 | Santa Clara v GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 31% | — |
| Tue 03 Nov 19:45 | Portsmouth v Swansea | Championship | 31% | 29% |
| Sat 07 Nov 12:30 | Wrexham v Wolves | Championship | 31% | — |
| Fri 06 Nov 20:00 | Sevilla v Alaves | La Liga | 31% | — |
| Sat 07 Nov 15:15 | Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 30% | — |
| Sat 07 Nov 12:30 | Leeds v Tottenham | Premier League | 30% | — |
| Sun 08 Nov 16:15 | Carrarese v Sampdoria | Serie B | 30% | — |
| Sun 08 Nov 19:45 | Fiorentina v Juventus | Serie A | 30% | — |
| Sun 08 Nov 14:00 | Genoa v AC Milan | Serie A | 29% | — |
| Sat 07 Nov 12:00 | Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga | 29% | — |
| Wed 04 Nov 20:00 | Bristol City v Wolves | Championship | 29% | 27% |
| Sat 07 Nov 15:00 | Charlton v Sheffield Utd | Championship | 29% | — |
Read it honestly. A high
draw probability is not a bet — the draw being the model's sharpest market
means its numbers here are worth respecting, not that they win money. The model has
no profit edge; the honest record, losses included, is on
the record. Nothing here is staked.
18+ · Betting carries risk · No guaranteed profit · National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133
18+ · Betting carries risk · No guaranteed profit · National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133