Fixture · Primeira Liga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:30 GMT
Santa Clara
v GIL Vicente
The model's read
Santa Clara
32%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
GIL Vicente
37%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Santa Clara or draw | 63.0% |
| Double chance GIL Vicente or draw | 67.7% |
| Double chance either team | 69.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.7% |
| Both teams to score | 48.6% |
| Santa Clara over 1.5 team goals | 30.8% |
| GIL Vicente over 1.5 team goals | 34.2% |
| Santa Clara clean sheet | 29.7% |
| GIL Vicente clean sheet | 32.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.5% · 0-0 11.0% · 0-1 10.5% · 1-0 9.5% · 1-2 8.0%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Recent form
Santa Clara
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 2-0 | Maritimo (A) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 26 Oct | L | 1-2 | Benfica (H) | 1.6 - 1.8 |
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | Casa Pia (A) | 0.7 - 0.5 |
| 20 Sep | D | 0-0 | SC Braga (H) | 1.0 - 0.5 |
| 13 Sep | W | 2-1 | Arouca (A) | 1.2 - 0.7 |
| 06 Sep | W | 4-0 | Rio Ave (H) | 1.8 - 0.3 |
GIL Vicente
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | D | 0-0 | Vitória SC (H) | 0.7 - 0.5 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-1 | FC Porto (H) | 0.4 - 1.1 |
| 19 Oct | W | 2-1 | SC Braga (A) | 1.5 - 1.4 |
| 09 Oct | W | 1-0 | Moreirense (A) | 1.5 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Maritimo (H) | 1.2 - 0.9 |
| 13 Sep | L | 1-3 | Benfica (A) | 1.1 - 2.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Santa Clara
+0.19
xG diff/game · 1.18 for, 1.00 against
GIL Vicente
+0.03
xG diff/game · 1.08 for, 1.06 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.