Fixture · Premier League · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 12:30 GMT
Leeds
v Tottenham
The model's read
Leeds
34%
match result
Draw
30%
match result
Tottenham
36%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Leeds or draw | 63.9% |
| Double chance Tottenham or draw | 65.9% |
| Double chance either team | 70.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.3% |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% |
| Leeds over 1.5 team goals | 34.0% |
| Tottenham over 1.5 team goals | 35.5% |
| Leeds clean sheet | 28.7% |
| Tottenham clean sheet | 29.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.2% · 0-0 9.9% · 0-1 9.4% · 1-0 9.1% · 1-2 8.1%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Leeds
- Leeds are winless in their last 5 league games (D3 L2).
Tottenham
- Tottenham have won their last 3 league games.
- Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W3 D1).
Players in form
- J. Trafford has made 33 saves in 9 league games this season.
- D. Calvert-Lewin has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- J. Bogle has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- A. Kinský has made 20 saves in 9 league games this season.
- J. van Hecke has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- M. Kudus has 0 goals and 3 assists in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Leeds
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-2 | Bournemouth (A) | 0.7 - 1.3 |
| 25 Oct | D | 0-0 | Sunderland (A) | 0.6 - 1.0 |
| 18 Oct | D | 1-1 | Manchester United (H) | 1.5 - 0.9 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Arsenal (A) | 0.7 - 2.7 |
| 20 Sep | D | 0-0 | Crystal Palace (H) | 1.3 - 1.1 |
| 14 Sep | W | 4-1 | Newcastle (H) | 2.1 - 0.9 |
Tottenham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Crystal Palace (H) | 3.3 - 0.2 |
| 24 Oct | W | 2-0 | Chelsea (A) | 0.8 - 0.5 |
| 19 Oct | W | 3-1 | Coventry (H) | 0.9 - 0.8 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Manchester United (A) | 1.6 - 0.8 |
| 19 Sep | L | 2-3 | Aston Villa (H) | 1.6 - 1.2 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Everton (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Leeds
-0.08
xG diff/game · 1.24 for, 1.32 against
Tottenham
+0.14
xG diff/game · 1.28 for, 1.14 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | Premier League | 2026/27 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 1.222 | 9–8 | LDDLD |
| Tottenham | Premier League | 2026/27 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 1.333 | 10–10 | WWWDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-3-0 | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1 |
| Tottenham | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-2-1 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 9 meetings: Leeds 2 wins, 1 draws, Tottenham 6 wins — 3.78 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 26 | Tottenham | 1-1 | Leeds |
| 04 Oct 25 | Leeds | 1-2 | Tottenham |