Fixture · Serie A · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Genoa
v AC Milan
The model's read
Genoa
29%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
AC Milan
42%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Genoa or draw | 58.2% |
| Double chance AC Milan or draw | 71.3% |
| Double chance either team | 70.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.5% |
| Both teams to score | 51.0% |
| Genoa over 1.5 team goals | 30.0% |
| AC Milan over 1.5 team goals | 39.8% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 25.4% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 33.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.0% · 0-1 10.4% · 0-0 9.8% · 1-2 8.7% · 1-0 8.0%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — AC Milan: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Genoa
- Genoa have won their last 3 league games.
AC Milan
- Both teams scored in 5 of AC Milan's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- J. Bijlow has made 33 saves in 10 league games this season.
- M. Osmajić has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- Junior Messias has scored 2 goals in 10 league games this season.
- M. Maignan has made 32 saves in 10 league games this season.
- A. Rabiot has 5 goals and 3 assists in 8 league games this season.
- Diego Moreira has 4 goals and 3 assists in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Genoa
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 2-1 | Lecce (A) | 1.3 - 1.0 |
| 28 Oct | W | 2-0 | Juventus (H) | 1.0 - 0.9 |
| 25 Oct | W | 1-0 | Venezia (H) | 0.4 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-2 | AS Roma (A) | 0.5 - 1.4 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Fiorentina (H) | 1.4 - 1.0 |
| 20 Sep | L | 1-2 | Parma (A) | 0.8 - 0.3 |
AC Milan
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-1 | Inter (H) | 0.7 - 1.8 |
| 28 Oct | L | 2-4 | Bologna (H) | 1.8 - 1.9 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-0 | Udinese (A) | 3.1 - 0.5 |
| 22 Oct | L | 0-3 | Bournemouth (A) | 0.2 - 3.2 |
| 18 Oct | W | 3-2 | Atalanta (H) | 2.5 - 1.7 |
| 15 Oct | W | 4-0 | Red Bull Salzburg (A) | 4.0 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Genoa
-0.26
xG diff/game · 0.92 for, 1.17 against
AC Milan
+0.36
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 1.26 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | Serie A | 2026/27 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 1.3 | 10–14 | WWWLW |
| AC Milan | Serie A | 2026/27 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 2.1 | 21–12 | WLWWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 3-1-2 | 1.2 / 1.3 | 2 |
| AC Milan | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-3-0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Genoa 0 wins, 3 draws, AC Milan 7 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 26 | Genoa | 1-2 | AC Milan |
| 08 Jan 26 | AC Milan | 1-1 | Genoa |