Fixture · Serie B · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Virtus Entella
v Modena
The model's read
Virtus Entella
34%
match result
Draw
33%
match result
Modena
33%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 66.6% |
| Double chance Modena or draw | 66.4% |
| Double chance either team | 67.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.5% |
| Both teams to score | 42.9% |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 27.7% |
| Modena over 1.5 team goals | 27.6% |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 35.6% |
| Modena clean sheet | 35.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.9% · 0-0 14.0% · 1-0 11.7% · 0-1 11.7% · 2-1 7.0%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Virtus Entella's last 6 home league games.
Modena
- Modena are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
Players in form
- Giuseppe Ambrosino has 2 assists in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Virtus Entella
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-2 | Sampdoria (A) | 0.8 - 0.9 |
| 27 Oct | D | 1-1 | Avellino (H) | 0.6 - 0.9 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-1 | Mantova (H) | 1.4 - 1.0 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-1 | Padova (A) | 1.7 - 0.8 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Juve Stabia (H) | 1.3 - 1.0 |
| 19 Sep | D | 0-0 | Cremonese (A) | 1.0 - 1.0 |
Modena
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 1-1 | Mantova (H) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
| 27 Oct | W | 2-1 | Vicenza Virtus (A) | 1.1 - 0.3 |
| 24 Oct | W | 3-0 | Cesena (H) | 2.2 - 0.2 |
| 17 Oct | L | 1-2 | Carrarese (A) | 1.0 - 1.8 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-2 | Hellas Verona (H) | 2.4 - 2.1 |
| 20 Sep | W | 2-1 | Empoli (H) | 1.7 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Virtus Entella
+0.20
xG diff/game · 1.07 for, 0.87 against
Modena
+0.62
xG diff/game · 1.39 for, 0.77 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | Serie B | 2026/27 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 1.0 | 11–12 | LDLWD |
| Modena | Serie B | 2026/27 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 2.0 | 18–10 | DWWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | home | Serie B | 2026/27 | 0-3-2 | 1.0 / 1.4 | 0 |
| Modena | away | Serie B | 2026/27 | 3-1-1 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 4 meetings: Virtus Entella 2 wins, 0 draws, Modena 2 wins — 2.5 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar 26 | Virtus Entella | 2-1 | Modena |
| 05 Oct 25 | Modena | 2-0 | Virtus Entella |