Fixture · La Liga · Fri 06 Nov 2026, 20:00 GMT
Sevilla
v Alaves
The model's read
Sevilla
39%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Alaves
30%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Sevilla or draw | 69.8% |
| Double chance Alaves or draw | 60.7% |
| Double chance either team | 69.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% |
| Both teams to score | 48.6% |
| Sevilla over 1.5 team goals | 36.0% |
| Alaves over 1.5 team goals | 29.2% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 34.1% |
| Alaves clean sheet | 28.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.4% · 0-0 10.9% · 1-0 10.9% · 0-1 9.1% · 2-1 8.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Alaves
- Alaves are winless in their last 7 league games (D2 L5).
- Both teams have scored in each of Alaves's last 4 league games.
Players in form
- O. Vlachodimos has made 32 saves in 11 league games this season.
- Isaac has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
- M. Sierra has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- Sivera has made 32 saves in 11 league games this season.
- M. Díaz has 4 goals and 4 assists in 11 league games this season.
- L. Boyé has scored 5 goals in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Sevilla
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-3 | Getafe (A) | 0.7 - 1.6 |
| 26 Oct | W | 2-0 | Osasuna (H) | 1.2 - 0.8 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-4 | Real Madrid (A) | 0.8 - 2.3 |
| 12 Oct | D | 3-3 | Levante (A) | 2.5 - 2.0 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-3 | Barcelona (H) | 0.4 - 3.5 |
| 16 Sep | W | 1-0 | Deportivo La Coruna (A) | 0.7 - 0.1 |
Alaves
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 1-6 | Barcelona (A) | 0.6 - 3.2 |
| 23 Oct | D | 1-1 | Malaga (H) | 1.9 - 0.6 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-2 | Celta Vigo (A) | 1.1 - 0.9 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Atletico Madrid (H) | 1.1 - 2.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 0-0 | Athletic Club (A) | 0.1 - 1.6 |
| 15 Sep | L | 0-1 | Valencia (H) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Sevilla
-0.32
xG diff/game · 1.01 for, 1.33 against
Alaves
-0.12
xG diff/game · 1.22 for, 1.34 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | La Liga | 2026/27 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 1.545 | 17–19 | LWLDL |
| Alaves | La Liga | 2026/27 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 1.091 | 15–17 | LDLLD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | home | La Liga | 2026/27 | 3-0-2 | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2 |
| Alaves | away | La Liga | 2026/27 | 0-2-2 | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Sevilla 2 wins, 4 draws, Alaves 4 wins — 2.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 26 | Sevilla | 1-1 | Alaves |
| 20 Sep 25 | Alaves | 1-2 | Sevilla |