Fixture · Championship · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 12:30 GMT
Portsmouth
v Stoke City
The model's read
Portsmouth
44%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Stoke City
25%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Portsmouth or draw | 75.4% |
| Double chance Stoke City or draw | 55.9% |
| Double chance either team | 68.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.2% |
| Both teams to score | 43.6% |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 team goals | 36.3% |
| Stoke City over 1.5 team goals | 22.2% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 41.3% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 28.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.3% · 1-0 13.4% · 0-0 12.9% · 2-0 9.4% · 0-1 8.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Portsmouth
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W3 D2).
Stoke City
- Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 league games.
- Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Stoke City's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- N. Schmid has made 19 saves in 13 league games this season.
- M. Milovanović has scored 3 goals in 11 league games this season.
- T. Devlin has scored 2 goals in 13 league games this season.
- V. Johansson has made 38 saves in 13 league games this season.
- E. Galbraith has 3 goals and 4 assists in 13 league games this season.
- J. McGlynn has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Portsmouth
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 0-0 | Burnley (A) | 0.3 - 1.8 |
| 24 Oct | W | 2-1 | Millwall (H) | 0.9 - 0.7 |
| 20 Oct | D | 1-1 | Wolves (A) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | Norwich (A) | 1.2 - 0.4 |
| 14 Oct | W | 3-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 2.2 - 2.0 |
| 11 Oct | L | 0-1 | Southampton (A) | 0.8 - 1.4 |
Stoke City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-0 | Preston (H) | 2.2 - 0.2 |
| 24 Oct | D | 0-0 | Bristol City (H) | 0.7 - 0.8 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | Derby (A) | 0.6 - 1.1 |
| 13 Oct | L | 2-3 | Middlesbrough (H) | 0.7 - 2.6 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Bolton (A) | 0.7 - 3.0 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 0.7 - 0.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Portsmouth
-0.02
xG diff/game · 1.16 for, 1.19 against
Stoke City
-0.38
xG diff/game · 0.94 for, 1.32 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Championship | 2026/27 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 1.462 | 16–15 | DWDWW |
| Stoke City | Championship | 2026/27 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 1.769 | 20–16 | WDWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 3-1-2 | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1 |
| Stoke City | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 3-1-2 | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 5 meetings: Portsmouth 2 wins, 0 draws, Stoke City 3 wins — 3.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | Stoke City | 1-3 | Portsmouth |
| 25 Oct 25 | Portsmouth | 0-1 | Stoke City |