Fixture · Serie A · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 19:45 GMT
Fiorentina
v Juventus
The model's read
Fiorentina
24%
match result
Draw
30%
match result
Juventus
46%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Fiorentina or draw | 53.7% |
| Double chance Juventus or draw | 75.9% |
| Double chance either team | 70.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.4% |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Fiorentina over 1.5 team goals | 24.7% |
| Juventus over 1.5 team goals | 41.2% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 24.4% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 38.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.9% · 0-1 12.0% · 0-0 10.7% · 0-2 9.4% · 1-2 8.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Juventus: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Fiorentina
- Fiorentina have not won any of their last 6 home league games (D3 L3).
- Both teams have scored in each of Fiorentina's last 8 league games.
- Fiorentina have conceded in each of their last 11 league games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- David de Gea has made 34 saves in 10 league games this season.
- Franco Mastantuono has scored 4 goals in 10 league games this season.
- Mateo Pellegrino has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- Bremer has scored 2 goals in 10 league games this season.
- E. Zhegrova has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- G. Vicario has made 15 saves in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Fiorentina
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | W | 4-2 | Sassuolo (A) | 2.5 - 0.9 |
| 29 Oct | D | 2-2 | Atalanta (H) | 1.7 - 1.2 |
| 25 Oct | L | 1-2 | Inter (A) | 0.2 - 3.4 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-3 | Como (H) | 2.3 - 1.8 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Genoa (A) | 1.0 - 1.4 |
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | Napoli (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
Juventus
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 2-0 | Napoli (H) | 0.9 - 0.4 |
| 28 Oct | L | 0-2 | Genoa (A) | 0.9 - 1.0 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-0 | Lecce (A) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
| 22 Oct | D | 2-2 | Rennes (H) | 2.2 - 1.7 |
| 18 Oct | L | 0-3 | Lazio (H) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
| 15 Oct | W | 2-1 | Celta Vigo (A) | 1.8 - 1.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Fiorentina
+0.08
xG diff/game · 1.61 for, 1.53 against
Juventus
+0.76
xG diff/game · 1.31 for, 0.55 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | Serie A | 2026/27 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 0.556 | 11–21 | DLLLD |
| Juventus | Serie A | 2026/27 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 1.7 | 13–10 | WLWLD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-2-3 | 1.0 / 2.2 | 0 |
| Juventus | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 2-1-2 | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Fiorentina 3 wins, 3 draws, Juventus 4 wins — 2.0 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 26 | Juventus | 0-2 | Fiorentina |
| 22 Nov 25 | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Juventus |