Metz 2–1 Guingamp
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Metz carried the greater threat — shots 15–10, 7–6 on target, 10–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Metz or draw | 1.26 | 74.1% |
| Double chance Guingamp or draw | 1.78 | 52.6% |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.3% |
| Draw no bet — Metz | 1.44 | 64.3% |
| Draw no bet — Guingamp | 2.59 | 35.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 28.3% |
| Both teams to score | 1.76 | 52.5% |
| Metz over 1.5 team goals | 2.02 | 46.2% |
| Guingamp over 1.5 team goals | 3.14 | 29.6% |
| Metz clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.22 · 1-0 6.93 · 2-1 8.10 · 2-0 9.12 · 0-0 9.18
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.