Montpellier 1–1 Dijon
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Montpellier carried the greater threat — shots 22–10, 5–4 on target, 10–4 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Montpellier or draw | 1.22 | 76.8% |
| Double chance Dijon or draw | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.1% |
| Draw no bet — Montpellier | 1.37 | 67.5% |
| Draw no bet — Dijon | 2.83 | 32.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 46.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.64 | 25.6% |
| Both teams to score | 1.88 | 49.4% |
| Montpellier over 1.5 team goals | 2.03 | 46.0% |
| Dijon over 1.5 team goals | 3.55 | 26.2% |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 2.25 | 41.1% |
| Dijon clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.06 · 1-1 6.25 · 2-1 7.88 · 2-0 8.09 · 0-0 8.80
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.