PAU 0–1 Annecy
What the chances were worth
The brain read
PAU carried the greater threat — shots 14–9, 2–3 on target, 8–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. PAU held 71% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
PAU 5-3-2
- 1 Brice Maubleu (G)
- 2 Tom Pouilly (D)
- 4 Axel Dodote (D)
- 5 Lorenzo Rajot (M)
- 7 Hacene Benali (F)
- 11 Alexis Lefebvre (F)
- 21 Jessy Benet (M)
- 29 Gaëtan Paquiez (D)
- 39 Mathys Tourraine (D)
- 88 Axel Bamba (D)
- 90 Kylian Gasnier (M)
Bench: Maxime Adam, Anthony Briançon, Rony Mimb Baheng, Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa, Souleymane Basse, Cheikh Fall, Giovani Versini, Tom Saettel, Babacar Leye
Annecy 4-3-3
- 1 Florian Escales (G)
- 6 Francois Lajugie (D)
- 9 Thibault Rambaud (F)
- 12 Kadan Young (F)
- 14 Mohamed Kone (M)
- 18 Axel Drouhin (D)
- 22 Clement Billemaz (M)
- 25 Paul Venot (M)
- 27 Julien Kouadio (D)
- 28 Antoine Larose (F)
- 41 Thibault Delphis (D)
Bench: Thomas Callens, Sacha Lima, Mattéo Veillon, Moïse Sahi Dion, Pascal Mozie, Kilyan Jusseron-Veniere, Zepiqueno Redmond
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance PAU or draw | 1.47 | 63.5% |
| Double chance Annecy or draw | 1.44 | 64.8% |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 71.8% |
| Draw no bet — PAU | 1.90 | 49.1% |
| Draw no bet — Annecy | 1.83 | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 30.4% |
| Both teams to score | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| PAU over 1.5 team goals | 2.37 | 39.4% |
| Annecy over 1.5 team goals | 2.29 | 40.6% |
| PAU clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% |
| Annecy clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.13 · 0-1 8.49 · 1-0 8.74 · 2-1 9.07 · 1-2 9.14
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.