SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Holstein Kiel
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.71–1.28.
The brain read
Holstein Kiel created the better chances — the xG read 0.7–1.3, with the shot count roughly even (13–9, 3–6 on target). SV Darmstadt 98's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.7 xG, 3 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Holstein Kiel shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance SV Darmstadt 98 or draw | 1.36 | 69.0% |
| Double chance Holstein Kiel or draw | 1.64 | 57.2% |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.8% |
| Draw no bet — SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.60 | 57.8% |
| Draw no bet — Holstein Kiel | 2.20 | 42.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| Both teams to score | 1.52 | 60.8% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 team goals | 1.89 | 49.2% |
| Holstein Kiel over 1.5 team goals | 2.30 | 40.5% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% |
| Holstein Kiel clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.61 · 2-1 8.22 · 1-0 9.42 · 1-2 10.11 · 2-2 10.78
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 13:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 26 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2-0 | Holstein Kiel |
| 04 Oct 25 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 |