Dijon 0–1 PAU
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Dijon carried the greater threat — shots 16–6, 9–3 on target, 8–5 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Dijon held 66% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dijon or draw | 1.31 | 71.5% | +1.4 pts |
| Double chance PAU or draw | 1.66 | 56.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.0% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dijon | 1.55 | 59.9% | +2.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — PAU | 2.31 | 40.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 70.2% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 45.8% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.63 | 25.7% | +1.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 51.5% | +1.1 pts |
| Dijon over 1.5 team goals | 2.23 | 41.8% | +2.3 pts |
| PAU over 1.5 team goals | 3.05 | 30.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Dijon clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -1.7 pts |
| PAU clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.92 · 1-0 6.73 · 0-0 8.35 · 2-1 8.37 · 0-1 8.59
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).