FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · 2. Bundesliga · Fri 14 Aug 2026, 17:30 UTC

Eintracht Braunschweig 01 VfL Bochum

← Back to the board

What the chances were worth

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.51
expected goals (xG)
VfL Bochum
1.23
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.51–1.23.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.5–1.2, shots 17–13 with 3–4 on target. Eintracht Braunschweig's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.5 xG despite 3 of 17 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–1 suggests.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Eintracht Braunschweig
VfL Bochum
55%
Ball Possession
45%
17
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots inside box
9
6
Shots outside box
4
1.51
Expected goals (xG)
1.23
5
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
490
Total passes
402
402
Passes accurate
297
82%
Passes %
74%
11
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
0.36
Goals prevented
0.36

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Eintracht Braunschweig
40%
market implied · price 2.36 · opened 37%
Draw
28%
market implied · price 3.38 · opened 29%
VfL Bochum
33%
market implied · price 2.83 · opened 34%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Eintracht Braunschweig or draw1.4066.9%+1.3 pts
Double chance VfL Bochum or draw1.5460.5%-2.5 pts
Double chance either team1.2972.6%+1.2 pts
Draw no bet — Eintracht Braunschweig1.7254.2%+2.8 pts
Draw no bet — VfL Bochum2.0345.8%-2.8 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2276.6%+3.1 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.7554.0%+3.7 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.7633.8%+4.1 pts
Both teams to score1.5858.8%+2.9 pts
Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 team goals2.0844.8%+4.1 pts
VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals2.3240.2%+2.3 pts
Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet3.5026.8%-0.9 pts
VfL Bochum clean sheet4.3321.7%-5.1 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.27 · 2-1 8.64 · 1-0 8.99 · 1-2 9.59 · 0-1 9.84

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 18:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
09 Nov 25Eintracht Braunschweig0-2VfL Bochum