FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Ligue 2 · Fri 14 Aug 2026, 19:45 UTC

Grenoble 00 Metz

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

An even contest on the shot picture — shots 9–7, 2–1 on target, 4–4 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Grenoble
Metz
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots inside box
4
5
Shots outside box
3
1
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
370
Total passes
511
303
Passes accurate
451
82%
Passes %
88%
12
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

Grenoble 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 Alexandre Olliero (G)
  2. 3 Farouq Limouri (D)
  3. 5 Clément Vidal (D)
  4. 6 Yohann Magnin (M)
  5. 7 Yadaly Diaby (M)
  6. 10 Baptiste Mouazan (M)
  7. 14 Mael Corboz (M)
  8. 19 Nesta Zahui (D)
  9. 27 Matthéo Xantippe (D)
  10. 47 Kyliann Fofana (M)
  11. 92 Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro (F)

Bench: Bobby Allain, Mathieu Mion, Efe Sarıkaya, Sakhalou Niakaté, Dillon Hoogewerf, Lucas Bernadou, Samba Diba, Ugo Bonnet, Leonardo Cerri

Metz 5-3-2

  1. 1 Jonathan Fischer (G)
  2. 3 Florian Miguel (D)
  3. 5 Jean Ruiz (D)
  4. 8 Jessy Deminguet (F)
  5. 9 Giorgi Abuashvili (M)
  6. 11 Pape Moussa Fall (F)
  7. 18 Believe Munongo (M)
  8. 22 Nathan Mbala (D)
  9. 39 Bryan Song (D)
  10. 42 Cristian Castro (D)
  11. 98 Idris Mohamed (M)

Bench: Pape Sy, Adam Marchal, Edouard Soumah-Abbad, Morgan Bokele Mputu, Jahyann Pandore, Nampalys Mendy, Ibou Sane, Hamza Kadamani, Habibou Diallo

The market’s read

Grenoble
29%
market implied · price 3.17 · opened 26%
Draw
29%
market implied · price 3.19 · opened 28%
Metz
42%
market implied · price 2.23 · opened 46%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Grenoble or draw1.6457.1%+4.1 pts
Double chance Metz or draw1.3171.5%-2.8 pts
Double chance either team1.3171.4%-1.3 pts
Draw no bet — Grenoble2.2641.2%+5.1 pts
Draw no bet — Metz1.5858.8%-5.1 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3469.6%-2.7 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.0845.1%-3.4 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.7624.7%-3.3 pts
Both teams to score1.8150.9%-2.2 pts
Grenoble over 1.5 team goals3.0230.7%+0.6 pts
Metz over 1.5 team goals2.3040.4%-5.4 pts
Grenoble clean sheet3.7525.0%+1.6 pts
Metz clean sheet2.5037.5%+2.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.88 · 0-1 6.63 · 1-2 8.43 · 0-0 8.49 · 1-0 8.51

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.