Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Guingamp carried the greater threat — shots 14–12, 3–2 on target, 10–4 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Guingamp or draw | 1.19 | 78.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 1.95 | 48.0% | +2.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Guingamp | 1.32 | 70.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 3.08 | 29.9% | +2.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 69.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 45.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.71 | 25.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.88 | 49.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Guingamp over 1.5 team goals | 1.99 | 46.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 3.73 | 25.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 2.25 | 41.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.05 · 1-1 6.30 · 2-0 7.77 · 2-1 7.82 · 0-0 8.48
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).