FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Ligue 2 · Fri 14 Aug 2026, 19:45 UTC

Laval 21 Nantes

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

Nantes carried the greater threat — shots 9–17, 5–3 on target, 5–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Laval
Nantes
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
8
5
Shots inside box
8
4
Shots outside box
9
2
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
366
Total passes
510
294
Passes accurate
432
80%
Passes %
85%
14
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

Laval 4-3-3

  1. 3 William Bianda (D)
  2. 5 Julien Maggiotti (M)
  3. 6 Sam Sanna (M)
  4. 10 Malik Sellouki (F)
  5. 11 Trévis Dago (F)
  6. 13 Francis Coquelin (M)
  7. 14 Cyril Mandouki (F)
  8. 18 Aboubacar Lô (D)
  9. 22 Jules Gaudin (D)
  10. 23 Esteban Mouton (D)
  11. 30 Mamadou Samassa (G)

Bench: Maxime Hautbois, Joseph Layousse Samb, Sacha Mellier, Yanis Court, Mamadou Sidibé, Alessio Beaudouin, Ethan Clavreul, Chafik Gourichy, Mathis Houdayer

Nantes 5-3-2

  1. 1 Maxime Dupé (G)
  2. 5 Lucas Perrin (D)
  3. 8 Johann Lepenant (M)
  4. 11 Bahereba Guirassy (M)
  5. 12 Killian Corredor (F)
  6. 23 Wilitty Younoussa (D)
  7. 24 Frédéric Guilbert (D)
  8. 28 Ibrahima Sissoko (M)
  9. 37 Ignatius Ganago (F)
  10. 78 Tylel Tati (D)
  11. 98 Kelvin Amian (D)

Bench: Alexis Mirbach, Saïdou Sow, Hugo Lamy, Malang Gomes, Bahmed Deuff, Louis Leroux, Mathieu Cafaro, Sacha Ziani, Moustapha Dabo

The market’s read

Laval
25%
market implied · price 3.74 · opened 25%
Draw
28%
market implied · price 3.31 · opened 28%
Nantes
47%
market implied · price 1.97 · opened 47%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Laval or draw1.7852.4%-0.5 pts
Double chance Nantes or draw1.2475.3%+0.4 pts
Double chance either team1.2972.3%+0.2 pts
Draw no bet — Laval2.7134.1%-0.5 pts
Draw no bet — Nantes1.4065.9%+0.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3071.4%+1.6 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.9847.4%+2.3 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.4527.0%+1.8 pts
Both teams to score1.8051.5%+1.5 pts
Laval over 1.5 team goals3.2628.6%+0.7 pts
Nantes over 1.5 team goals2.0445.7%+1.8 pts
Laval clean sheet4.0023.4%
Nantes clean sheet2.6235.5%

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.04 · 0-1 6.42 · 1-2 8.04 · 0-2 8.69 · 0-0 8.78

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.