Nancy 0–1 Montpellier
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 11–13, 3–4 on target, 8–9 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Nancy 5-4-1
- 1 Enzo Basilio (G)
- 2 Héliohdino Tavares (D)
- 4 Nehemiah Fernandez (D)
- 6 Kouroufia Kébé (M)
- 7 Zakaria Fdaouch (M)
- 8 Walid Bouabdelli (M)
- 9 Ilyes Housni (M)
- 17 Mamadou Fofana (D)
- 20 Brandon Bokangu (F)
- 21 Elydjah Mendy (D)
- 44 Enzo Tacafred (D)
Bench: Geoffrey Lembet, Yannis Nahounou, Thierno Baldé, Nicolas Saint-Ruf, Hugo Barbier, Chafik El Hansar, Noam Obougou, Nordine Kandil, Sidi Cissé
Montpellier 4-3-3
- 6 Yael Mouanga (D)
- 9 Laciné Megnan-Pave (F)
- 15 Julien Laporte (D)
- 17 Théo Sainte-Luce (D)
- 18 Nicolas Pays (F)
- 19 Nordan Mukiele (F)
- 27 Daylam Meddah (M)
- 29 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi (D)
- 31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu (G)
- 40 Noah Vidal (M)
- 44 Théo Chennahi (M)
Bench: Viktor Dzodic, Naoufel El Hannach, Hichem Abderrebi, Gregory Ayem, Yanis Issoufou, Everson Junior, Daryll Benlahlou
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Nancy or draw | 1.49 | 62.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance Montpellier or draw | 1.43 | 65.4% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 71.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nancy | 1.93 | 48.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Montpellier | 1.79 | 51.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 71.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 47.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.38 | 27.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 53.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Nancy over 1.5 team goals | 2.51 | 37.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Montpellier over 1.5 team goals | 2.42 | 38.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Nancy clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.9 pts |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +1.4 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.89 · 0-1 7.81 · 1-0 8.23 · 1-2 8.98 · 0-0 9.02
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).