Saint Etienne 3–1 Clermont Foot
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 21–5, 5–2 on target, 16–2 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 Maxime Bernauer (M)
- 7 Irvin Cardona (F)
- 8 Thierno Ballo (M)
- 10 Jakob Breum (M)
- 13 João Ferreira (D)
- 14 Áron Csongvai (M)
- 18 Sohaib Nair (D)
- 20 Augustine Boakye (M)
- 23 Kevin Pedro (D)
- 26 Julien Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 Gautier Larsonneur (G)
Bench: Mamour Ndiaye, Nathan Kasia Nkondo, Strahinja Stojković, Adam Baallal, Tamar Svetlin, Joshua Duffus, Lucas Stassin, Zuriko Davitashvili
Clermont Foot 4-4-2
- 2 Abdellah Baallal (M)
- 4 Ethan Kena Kabeya (D)
- 5 Jean Grillot (M)
- 6 El Hadj Koné (M)
- 12 Vital Nsimba (D)
- 19 Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna (M)
- 21 Yoann Salmier (D)
- 23 Adrien Hunou (F)
- 28 Ivan M'Bahia (D)
- 30 Théo Guivarch (G)
- 90 Christ Okou (F)
Bench: Massamba N'Diaye, Ibrahim Coulibaly, Cheick Oumar Konaté, Julien Astic, Allan Ackra, Maïdine Douane, Junior Sambia, Arthur Saintorens, Ousmane Diop
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.09 | 85.9% | +3.6 pts |
| Double chance Clermont Foot or draw | 2.78 | 33.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.17 | 80.2% | +2.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.13 | 82.3% | +4.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Clermont Foot | 5.25 | 17.7% | -4.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 78.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 56.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 35.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.85 | 50.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.49 | 62.7% | +3.0 pts |
| Clermont Foot over 1.5 team goals | 4.36 | 21.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 2.10 | 44.3% | +5.2 pts |
| Clermont Foot clean sheet | 6.50 | 14.6% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.68 · 2-0 6.69 · 2-1 7.45 · 1-1 8.22 · 3-0 9.33
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-14 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).