| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Alaves or draw | 80.0% |
| Double chance Getafe or draw | 50.4% |
| Double chance either team | 69.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.0% |
| Both teams to score | 41.5% |
| Alaves over 1.5 team goals | 39.7% |
| Getafe over 1.5 team goals | 18.3% |
| Alaves clean sheet | 46.0% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 25.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 14.8% · 1-1 13.7% · 0-0 12.9% · 2-0 11.0% · 2-1 8.5%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | L | 1-2 | Rayo Vallecano (H) | 1.6 - 1.3 |
| 17 May | W | 1-0 | Oviedo (A) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
| 13 May | W | 1-0 | Barcelona (H) | 0.7 - 0.6 |
| 09 May | D | 1-1 | Elche (A) | 2.0 - 1.4 |
| 02 May | L | 2-4 | Athletic Club (H) | 0.5 - 0.9 |
| 25 Apr | W | 2-1 | Mallorca (H) | 1.2 - 0.2 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | W | 1-0 | Osasuna (H) | 0.2 - 0.5 |
| 17 May | L | 0-1 | Elche (A) | 0.1 - 0.7 |
| 13 May | W | 3-1 | Mallorca (H) | 1.6 - 0.4 |
| 10 May | D | 0-0 | Oviedo (A) | 1.4 - 0.5 |
| 03 May | L | 0-2 | Rayo Vallecano (H) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 25 Apr | L | 0-2 | Barcelona (H) | 0.6 - 1.9 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 26 | Alaves | 0-2 | Getafe |
| 24 Sep 25 | Getafe | 1-1 | Alaves |