Bolton 2–1 Preston
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.10–0.81.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–0.8, shots 15–9 with 6–3 on target. Bolton's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1.1 xG, 6 of 15 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 1.32 | 70.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Preston or draw | 1.62 | 57.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Bolton | 1.57 | 59.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Preston | 2.27 | 40.9% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 47.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.47 | 26.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.76 | 52.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 2.24 | 41.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 2.90 | 32.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Bolton clean sheet | 2.77 | 33.4% | +1.3 pts |
| Preston clean sheet | 3.67 | 25.4% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.88 · 1-0 7.00 · 2-1 8.41 · 0-0 8.77 · 0-1 8.82
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-15 13:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).