| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bristol City or draw | 62.1% |
| Double chance Millwall or draw | 66.3% |
| Double chance either team | 71.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
| Bristol City over 1.5 team goals | 36.9% |
| Millwall over 1.5 team goals | 40.0% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 25.2% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 27.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.6% · 1-2 8.5% · 0-1 8.4% · 0-0 8.2% · 2-1 7.9%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | W | 2-0 | Stoke City (H) | 2.0 - 1.0 |
| 25 Apr | L | 1-2 | Birmingham (A) | 1.1 - 1.8 |
| 21 Apr | D | 2-2 | Southampton (A) | 0.7 - 2.0 |
| 18 Apr | L | 2-4 | Norwich (H) | 1.4 - 2.1 |
| 11 Apr | D | 0-0 | QPR (A) | 0.8 - 0.6 |
| 06 Apr | W | 1-0 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 0.4 - 1.6 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | L | 0-2 | Hull City (H) | 0.9 - 2.1 |
| 08 May | D | 0-0 | Hull City (A) | 0.6 - 0.5 |
| 02 May | W | 2-0 | Oxford United (H) | 2.1 - 1.1 |
| 24 Apr | D | 1-1 | Leicester (A) | 1.9 - 0.9 |
| 21 Apr | W | 3-1 | Stoke City (A) | 1.5 - 1.0 |
| 18 Apr | W | 2-0 | QPR (H) | 1.5 - 0.1 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 25 | Millwall | 2-1 | Bristol City |
| 06 Dec 25 | Bristol City | 0-1 | Millwall |