FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Sat 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC

Cadiz 00 Celta de Vigo II

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What the chances were worth

Cadiz
1.61
expected goals (xG)
Celta de Vigo II
0.63
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.61–0.63.

The brain read

Cadiz created the better chances — the xG read 1.6–0.6 and the shot count agreed (17–5, 3–5 on target). Cadiz got into the box far more often (11 shots inside it to 5). Cadiz's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.6 xG despite 3 of 17 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Cadiz shaded the game.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Cadiz
Celta de Vigo II
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots off Goal
0
4
Blocked Shots
0
11
Shots inside box
5
6
Shots outside box
0
1.61
Expected goals (xG)
0.63
6
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
513
Total passes
390
440
Passes accurate
320
86%
Passes %
82%
14
Fouls
21
4
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Cadiz
46%
market implied · price 2.01 · opened 46%
Draw
27%
market implied · price 3.39 · opened 28%
Celta de Vigo II
26%
market implied · price 3.54 · opened 26%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Cadiz or draw1.2673.8%-0.6 pts
Double chance Celta de Vigo II or draw1.7653.1%+0.1 pts
Double chance either team1.2873.0%+0.5 pts
Draw no bet — Cadiz1.4464.0%-0.4 pts
Draw no bet — Celta de Vigo II2.5736.0%+0.4 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2773.7%+1.0 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.8850.2%+1.6 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.1729.4%+1.3 pts
Both teams to score1.7154.1%+0.9 pts
Cadiz over 1.5 team goals2.0046.7%+0.8 pts
Celta de Vigo II over 1.5 team goals2.9531.5%+1.0 pts
Cadiz clean sheet2.7533.7%+0.0 pts
Celta de Vigo II clean sheet4.3321.7%-1.7 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.99 · 1-0 7.00 · 2-1 7.75 · 2-0 9.10 · 0-1 9.69

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-15 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.