| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Charlton or draw | 61.0% |
| Double chance Derby or draw | 68.4% |
| Double chance either team | 70.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.6% |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Charlton over 1.5 team goals | 33.0% |
| Derby over 1.5 team goals | 38.6% |
| Charlton clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Derby clean sheet | 30.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.0% · 0-1 9.5% · 0-0 9.4% · 1-2 8.5% · 1-0 8.3%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | L | 1-3 | Swansea (A) | 1.0 - 1.2 |
| 25 Apr | W | 2-1 | Hull City (H) | 1.1 - 0.9 |
| 22 Apr | L | 1-2 | Ipswich (H) | 0.3 - 1.9 |
| 18 Apr | D | 1-1 | Sheffield Wednesday (A) | 1.3 - 0.9 |
| 11 Apr | L | 1-2 | Preston (H) | 1.3 - 1.3 |
| 06 Apr | D | 1-1 | Watford (A) | 2.1 - 1.3 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | L | 1-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 2.1 - 1.9 |
| 25 Apr | W | 3-2 | QPR (A) | 1.1 - 2.5 |
| 21 Apr | L | 1-2 | Norwich (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 18 Apr | W | 1-0 | Oxford United (H) | 1.0 - 0.7 |
| 11 Apr | L | 1-2 | Southampton (A) | 0.9 - 1.7 |
| 06 Apr | W | 2-0 | Stoke City (H) | 2.4 - 0.3 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 26 | Charlton | 1-2 | Derby |
| 30 Sep 25 | Derby | 1-1 | Charlton |