FC Andorra 5–1 AD Ceuta FC
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 5–1; by chance quality the match ran 4.64–1.88.
The brain read
FC Andorra created the better chances — the xG read 4.6–1.9 and the shot count agreed (25–5, 11–1 on target). FC Andorra got into the box far more often (18 shots inside it to 4) and FC Andorra held 64% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the 5–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance FC Andorra or draw | 1.15 | 81.6% |
| Double chance AD Ceuta FC or draw | 2.24 | 41.8% |
| Double chance either team | 1.22 | 76.6% |
| Draw no bet — FC Andorra | 1.24 | 75.3% |
| Draw no bet — AD Ceuta FC | 3.77 | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.01 | 31.0% |
| Both teams to score | 1.78 | 51.9% |
| FC Andorra over 1.5 team goals | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| AD Ceuta FC over 1.5 team goals | 3.73 | 24.9% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 2.25 | 41.1% |
| AD Ceuta FC clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.52 · 1-1 6.75 · 2-0 7.21 · 2-1 7.25 · 0-0 10.68
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-15 17:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | FC Andorra | 0-2 | AD Ceuta FC |
| 04 Jan 26 | AD Ceuta FC | 2-1 | FC Andorra |