Mallorca 2–0 Valladolid
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.00–0.67.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1–0.7, shots 7–11 with 3–1 on target. Mallorca's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1 xG, 3 of 7 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Mallorca or draw | 1.15 | 81.6% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance Valladolid or draw | 2.14 | 43.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 74.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Mallorca | 1.24 | 75.1% | +0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Valladolid | 3.73 | 24.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 72.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 49.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.23 | 28.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.85 | 50.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Mallorca over 1.5 team goals | 1.79 | 52.0% | -0.0 pts |
| Valladolid over 1.5 team goals | 3.88 | 24.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Mallorca clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Valladolid clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.11 · 1-1 6.42 · 2-0 7.13 · 2-1 7.49 · 0-0 9.18
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-15 21:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).