FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · Championship · Sat 15 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC

Norwich
v West Brom

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The model's read

Norwich
38%
match result
Draw
30%
match result
West Brom
33%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Norwich or draw67.2%
Double chance West Brom or draw62.4%
Double chance either team70.4%
Over 1.5 goals72.2%
Over 2.5 goals45.2%
Over 3.5 goals23.9%
Both teams to score51.8%
Norwich over 1.5 team goals37.0%
West Brom over 1.5 team goals33.4%
Norwich clean sheet30.4%
West Brom clean sheet27.5%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.1% · 0-0 9.6% · 1-0 9.5% · 0-1 8.7% · 2-1 8.3%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Recent form — Norwich

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
02 MayL1-2Hull City (A)1.0 - 1.8
25 AprD1-1Swansea (H)1.7 - 1.2
21 AprW2-1Derby (H)1.5 - 1.2
18 AprW4-2Bristol City (A)2.1 - 1.4
11 AprL0-2Ipswich (H)0.9 - 2.0
06 AprW2-1Millwall (A)2.1 - 0.9

Recent form — West Brom

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
02 MayL1-2Sheffield Wednesday (A)1.9 - 1.3
25 AprD0-0Ipswich (H)1.3 - 1.1
21 AprW3-0Watford (H)1.5 - 0.6
18 AprW2-0Preston (A)1.7 - 1.3
10 AprD0-0Millwall (H)1.4 - 1.1
06 AprD0-0Blackburn (A)0.7 - 0.8

Chance quality, most recent season

Norwich
-0.07
xG diff/game · 1.32 for, 1.39 against
West Brom
+0.24
xG diff/game · 1.26 for, 1.01 against

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Jan 26West Brom0-5Norwich
01 Oct 25Norwich0-1West Brom