| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Portsmouth or draw | 66.9% |
| Double chance QPR or draw | 63.3% |
| Double chance either team | 69.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.3% |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 team goals | 35.2% |
| QPR over 1.5 team goals | 32.5% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 31.1% |
| QPR clean sheet | 28.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.3% · 0-0 10.3% · 1-0 9.9% · 0-1 9.2% · 2-1 8.1%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | D | 1-1 | Birmingham (H) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
| 25 Apr | W | 3-1 | Stoke City (A) | 1.6 - 1.5 |
| 21 Apr | L | 1-5 | Coventry (A) | 0.1 - 3.3 |
| 18 Apr | W | 1-0 | Leicester (H) | 1.0 - 0.9 |
| 14 Apr | W | 2-0 | Ipswich (H) | 1.8 - 1.1 |
| 11 Apr | W | 1-0 | Middlesbrough (A) | 0.4 - 1.3 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | L | 0-3 | Ipswich (A) | 0.8 - 2.5 |
| 25 Apr | L | 2-3 | Derby (H) | 2.5 - 1.1 |
| 21 Apr | L | 1-2 | Swansea (H) | 1.6 - 2.6 |
| 18 Apr | L | 0-2 | Millwall (A) | 0.1 - 1.5 |
| 11 Apr | D | 0-0 | Bristol City (H) | 0.6 - 0.8 |
| 06 Apr | D | 1-1 | Preston (A) | 1.1 - 0.6 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 26 | QPR | 6-1 | Portsmouth |
| 26 Dec 25 | Portsmouth | 1-1 | QPR |