| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 69.1% |
| Double chance Birmingham or draw | 58.2% |
| Double chance either team | 72.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.4% |
| Both teams to score | 58.0% |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 45.4% |
| Birmingham over 1.5 team goals | 37.0% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 27.5% |
| Birmingham clean sheet | 21.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.9% · 2-1 9.0% · 1-0 7.9% · 1-2 7.6% · 0-0 7.1%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | W | 2-1 | Derby (A) | 1.9 - 2.1 |
| 25 Apr | L | 2-3 | Preston (H) | 3.0 - 3.0 |
| 22 Apr | L | 1-3 | Blackburn (H) | 1.5 - 1.6 |
| 18 Apr | W | 2-0 | Watford (A) | 0.8 - 1.3 |
| 11 Apr | W | 2-1 | Hull City (H) | 2.4 - 1.2 |
| 06 Apr | L | 0-1 | Bristol City (A) | 1.6 - 0.4 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | D | 1-1 | Portsmouth (A) | 1.7 - 0.7 |
| 25 Apr | W | 2-1 | Bristol City (H) | 1.8 - 1.1 |
| 22 Apr | W | 2-1 | Preston (H) | 1.9 - 2.4 |
| 18 Apr | D | 1-1 | Hull City (A) | 0.5 - 0.9 |
| 12 Apr | W | 2-0 | Wrexham (H) | 1.6 - 0.1 |
| 06 Apr | L | 1-2 | Ipswich (A) | 0.5 - 1.9 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 26 | Birmingham | 1-1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 20 Dec 25 | Sheffield Utd | 3-0 | Birmingham |