| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Stoke City or draw | 57.8% |
| Double chance Swansea or draw | 68.8% |
| Double chance either team | 73.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% |
| Stoke City over 1.5 team goals | 38.9% |
| Swansea over 1.5 team goals | 47.2% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 20.4% |
| Swansea clean sheet | 26.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.5% · 1-2 9.0% · 2-1 7.6% · 0-1 7.3% · 0-2 6.7%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | L | 0-2 | Bristol City (A) | 1.0 - 2.0 |
| 25 Apr | L | 1-3 | Portsmouth (H) | 1.5 - 1.6 |
| 21 Apr | L | 1-3 | Millwall (H) | 1.0 - 1.5 |
| 18 Apr | L | 0-2 | Wrexham (A) | 0.3 - 1.2 |
| 11 Apr | D | 1-1 | Blackburn (H) | 1.7 - 0.7 |
| 06 Apr | L | 0-2 | Derby (A) | 0.3 - 2.4 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | W | 3-1 | Charlton (H) | 1.2 - 1.0 |
| 25 Apr | D | 1-1 | Norwich (A) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 21 Apr | W | 2-1 | QPR (A) | 2.6 - 1.6 |
| 18 Apr | L | 1-2 | Southampton (H) | 1.2 - 1.2 |
| 11 Apr | W | 1-0 | Leicester (A) | 0.7 - 1.4 |
| 06 Apr | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (H) | 2.2 - 3.1 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 26 | Swansea | 2-0 | Stoke City |
| 13 Dec 25 | Stoke City | 2-1 | Swansea |