Almeria 3–0 Eldense
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Almeria carried the greater threat — shots 14–11, 5–3 on target, 9–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Almeria or draw | 1.10 | 85.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 2.78 | 33.7% | +5.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.16 | 80.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Almeria | 1.14 | 81.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 5.14 | 18.1% | +4.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 79.2% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 58.3% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 36.9% | +1.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.78 | 51.8% | +5.4 pts |
| Almeria over 1.5 team goals | 1.46 | 63.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 4.00 | 23.3% | +5.7 pts |
| Almeria clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 8.00 | 11.9% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-0 6.68 · 1-0 6.96 · 2-1 7.47 · 1-1 8.22 · 3-0 8.95
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-17 21:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).