FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Mon 17 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sporting Gijon 00 Sabadell

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What the chances were worth

Sporting Gijon
0.82
expected goals (xG)
Sabadell
2.01
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.82–2.01.

The brain read

Sabadell created the better chances — the xG read 0.8–2 and the shot count agreed (8–14, 5–2 on target). Sabadell got into the box far more often (9 shots inside it to 5). Sporting Gijon's finishing let them down — 0 from 0.8 xG despite 5 of 8 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Sabadell shaded the game.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Sporting Gijon
Sabadell
56%
Ball Possession
44%
8
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots off Goal
7
0
Blocked Shots
5
5
Shots inside box
9
3
Shots outside box
5
1
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
6
451
Total passes
337
359
Passes accurate
248
80%
Passes %
74%
7
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Sporting Gijon
50%
market implied · price 1.87 · opened 51%
Draw
29%
market implied · price 3.25 · opened 28%
Sabadell
22%
market implied · price 4.31 · opened 21%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Sporting Gijon or draw1.1978.3%-0.6 pts
Double chance Sabadell or draw1.8949.3%+1.1 pts
Double chance either team1.2972.4%-0.4 pts
Draw no bet — Sporting Gijon1.3369.8%-1.5 pts
Draw no bet — Sabadell3.0830.2%+1.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3967.4%-0.5 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.2142.5%-0.6 pts
Over 3.5 goals4.0623.0%-0.6 pts
Both teams to score1.9647.2%+0.1 pts
Sporting Gijon over 1.5 team goals2.1343.9%-1.8 pts
Sabadell over 1.5 team goals3.9223.8%+0.8 pts
Sporting Gijon clean sheet2.1044.3%+0.0 pts
Sabadell clean sheet4.0023.4%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.61 · 1-1 5.89 · 0-0 7.56 · 2-0 7.64 · 2-1 7.91

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-17 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.