Boulogne 1–1 RED Star FC 93
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Boulogne carried the greater threat — shots 6–2, 2–1 on target, 5–1 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 1.70 | 55.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Double chance RED Star FC 93 or draw | 1.27 | 73.6% | +4.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 71.1% | +1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 2.53 | 36.6% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — RED Star FC 93 | 1.46 | 63.4% | +7.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 67.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 43.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.99 | 23.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.88 | 49.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 3.41 | 27.3% | -3.7 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 over 1.5 team goals | 2.27 | 41.1% | +3.3 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -4.0 pts |
| RED Star FC 93 clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.86 · 0-1 6.10 · 0-0 7.71 · 1-2 8.34 · 1-0 8.62
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-21 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).