FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Fri 21 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC

Cordoba 20 Girona

← Back to the board

What the chances were worth

Cordoba
1.35
expected goals (xG)
Girona
0.79
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.35–0.79.

The brain read

Cordoba created the better chances — the xG read 1.4–0.8 and the shot count agreed (4–5, 2–2 on target). Cordoba got into the box far more often (4 shots inside it to 0). On the balance of chances, the 2–0 reads fair.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Cordoba
Girona
47%
Ball Possession
53%
4
Total Shots
5
2
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
3
0
Blocked Shots
0
4
Shots inside box
0
0
Shots outside box
5
1
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
1
147
Total passes
173
123
Passes accurate
154
84%
Passes %
89%
5
Fouls
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Cordoba
35%
market implied · price 2.66 · opened 31%
Draw
28%
market implied · price 3.38 · opened 28%
Girona
37%
market implied · price 2.50 · opened 41%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Cordoba or draw1.5162.0%+3.6 pts
Double chance Girona or draw1.4365.4%-4.2 pts
Double chance either team1.2972.7%+0.6 pts
Draw no bet — Cordoba1.9847.2%+4.9 pts
Draw no bet — Girona1.7752.8%-4.9 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2276.6%+6.6 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.7553.8%+7.8 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.8133.3%+7.7 pts
Both teams to score1.5858.5%+6.9 pts
Cordoba over 1.5 team goals2.2641.4%+9.2 pts
Girona over 1.5 team goals2.1842.9%+2.7 pts
Cordoba clean sheet4.0023.4%-3.4 pts
Girona clean sheet3.5026.8%-7.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.01 · 1-2 8.51 · 0-1 8.68 · 2-1 9.05 · 1-0 9.25

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-21 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.