Dunkerque 0–1 Montpellier
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 12–10, 3–4 on target, 7–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dunkerque or draw | 1.38 | 67.6% | +2.0 pts |
| Double chance Montpellier or draw | 1.57 | 59.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 72.8% | +1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dunkerque | 1.70 | 54.6% | +3.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Montpellier | 2.05 | 45.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 77.0% | +2.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 54.2% | +3.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 33.5% | +3.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 | 58.8% | +2.0 pts |
| Dunkerque over 1.5 team goals | 2.07 | 45.2% | +4.2 pts |
| Montpellier over 1.5 team goals | 2.40 | 38.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +2.3 pts |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.34 · 2-1 8.62 · 1-0 8.93 · 1-2 9.59 · 0-1 9.80
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-21 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).