FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Ligue 2 · Fri 21 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC

PAU 00 Nancy

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

PAU carried the greater threat — shots 4–0, 0–0 on target, 2–0 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

PAU
Nancy
45%
Ball Possession
55%
4
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
1
Shots off Goal
0
3
Blocked Shots
0
2
Shots inside box
0
2
Shots outside box
0
2
Corner Kicks
0
52
Total passes
68
38
Passes accurate
60
73%
Passes %
88%
2
Fouls
2
1
Yellow Cards
0

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

PAU
40%
market implied · price 2.35 · opened 41%
Draw
29%
market implied · price 3.16 · opened 28%
Nancy
31%
market implied · price 2.99 · opened 32%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance PAU or draw1.3668.8%+0.5 pts
Double chance Nancy or draw1.5660.0%+1.0 pts
Double chance either team1.3171.2%-1.5 pts
Draw no bet — PAU1.6655.8%-0.3 pts
Draw no bet — Nancy2.1044.2%+0.3 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3270.9%-5.1 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.0147.0%-5.9 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.5626.4%-6.0 pts
Both teams to score1.7652.6%-5.5 pts
PAU over 1.5 team goals2.3539.6%-5.8 pts
Nancy over 1.5 team goals2.7533.7%-4.1 pts
PAU clean sheet3.0031.2%+0.0 pts
Nancy clean sheet3.4027.7%+4.3 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.86 · 1-0 7.37 · 2-1 8.58 · 0-1 8.63 · 0-0 8.90

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-21 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.