Sochaux 1–0 Guingamp
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 3–0, 1–0 on target, 2–0 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sochaux or draw | 1.46 | 63.9% | +2.9 pts |
| Double chance Guingamp or draw | 1.43 | 65.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 70.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sochaux | 1.85 | 50.1% | +4.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Guingamp | 1.86 | 49.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.2% | +2.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47.0% | +2.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.49 | 26.7% | +1.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.74 | 53.2% | +2.6 pts |
| Sochaux over 1.5 team goals | 2.55 | 36.5% | +3.4 pts |
| Guingamp over 1.5 team goals | 2.48 | 37.6% | +0.2 pts |
| Sochaux clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -4.4 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.85 · 0-1 7.71 · 1-0 8.03 · 0-0 8.63 · 1-2 9.27
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-21 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).