AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Las Palmas
What the chances were worth
The brain read
AD Ceuta FC carried the greater threat — shots 16–8, 3–4 on target, 11–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance AD Ceuta FC or draw | 1.53 | 60.9% | +1.2 pts |
| Double chance Las Palmas or draw | 1.38 | 67.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 71.6% | +1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — AD Ceuta FC | 2.03 | 45.9% | +2.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Las Palmas | 1.72 | 54.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 74.6% | +4.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 51.3% | +5.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 30.7% | +4.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.63 | 57.0% | +4.6 pts |
| AD Ceuta FC over 1.5 team goals | 2.47 | 37.8% | +5.2 pts |
| Las Palmas over 1.5 team goals | 2.19 | 42.6% | +2.7 pts |
| AD Ceuta FC clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -7.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.78 · 0-1 8.08 · 1-2 8.31 · 1-0 9.01 · 2-1 9.38
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 26 | Las Palmas | 4-0 | AD Ceuta FC |
| 14 Dec 25 | AD Ceuta FC | 1-1 | Las Palmas |