Albacete 1–2 Real Sociedad II
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.36–1.92.
The brain read
Albacete created the better chances — the xG read 2.4–1.9, with the shot count roughly even (14–11, 5–5 on target). Albacete held 63% of the ball. Albacete's finishing let them down — 1 from 2.4 xG despite 5 of 14 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 1–2 flatters Real Sociedad II — on chances created, Albacete shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 1.19 | 78.4% | +2.6 pts |
| Double chance Real Sociedad II or draw | 1.98 | 47.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 74.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 1.31 | 70.3% | +3.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Real Sociedad II | 3.11 | 29.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 74.7% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 51.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.03 | 30.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.72 | 53.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 1.82 | 51.2% | +2.5 pts |
| Real Sociedad II over 1.5 team goals | 3.27 | 28.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +2.0 pts |
| Real Sociedad II clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.40 · 1-0 6.74 · 2-1 7.50 · 2-0 8.04 · 0-0 10.37
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | Albacete | 3-1 | Real Sociedad II |
| 10 Jan 26 | Real Sociedad II | 0-0 | Albacete |