Avellino 1–2 Arezzo
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.70–1.27.
The brain read
Arezzo created the better chances — the xG read 0.7–1.3 and the shot count agreed (8–14, 2–2 on target). On the balance of chances, the 1–2 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Avellino or draw | 1.30 | 72.1% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance Arezzo or draw | 1.63 | 57.3% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Avellino | 1.56 | 59.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Arezzo | 2.28 | 40.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 68.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 43.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.94 | 23.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.88 | 49.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Avellino over 1.5 team goals | 2.35 | 39.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Arezzo over 1.5 team goals | 3.19 | 29.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Avellino clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Arezzo clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.84 · 1-0 6.50 · 0-0 7.77 · 0-1 8.33 · 2-1 8.77
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).