Eldense 2–2 Cadiz
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.45–1.74.
The brain read
The xG read 0.5–1.7 in Cadiz's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 3–0 overall and 2–0 on target went Eldense's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. Eldense's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.5 xG, 2 of 3 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement).
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 1.31 | 71.4% | +1.3 pts |
| Double chance Cadiz or draw | 1.60 | 58.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 1.58 | 59.0% | +1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cadiz | 2.27 | 41.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 69.7% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 44.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.73 | 25.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.81 | 51.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 2.35 | 39.8% | +0.9 pts |
| Cadiz over 1.5 team goals | 3.03 | 30.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +1.7 pts |
| Cadiz clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.48 · 1-0 6.49 · 0-0 7.96 · 0-1 8.27 · 2-1 8.39
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 21:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).