Hull City 2–0 Manchester United
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.26–1.54.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.3–1.5, shots 8–16 with 4–4 on target. Manchester United got into the box far more often (13 shots inside it to 5) and Manchester United held 70% of the ball. Manchester United's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.5 xG despite 4 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Hull City or draw | 3.23 | 29.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Double chance Manchester United or draw | 1.07 | 88.4% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.15 | 82.2% | +1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hull City | 6.39 | 14.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Manchester United | 1.09 | 85.4% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 80.8% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 60.4% | +3.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 39.3% | +3.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.87 | 50.0% | +1.4 pts |
| Hull City over 1.5 team goals | 4.60 | 20.4% | +0.5 pts |
| Manchester United over 1.5 team goals | 1.38 | 67.7% | +3.1 pts |
| Hull City clean sheet | 9.00 | 10.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 0-2 6.83 · 0-1 7.82 · 1-2 8.31 · 0-3 8.68 · 1-1 9.71
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 13:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).