Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.64–0.72.
The brain read
Ipswich created the better chances — the xG read 1.6–0.7, with the shot count roughly even (7–9, 2–3 on target). Sunderland held 62% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the 2–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Ipswich or draw | 1.47 | 64.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance Sunderland or draw | 1.44 | 65.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 70.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Ipswich | 1.89 | 49.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sunderland | 1.84 | 50.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 69.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 44.2% | -4.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.79 | 24.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.82 | 51.3% | -3.6 pts |
| Ipswich over 1.5 team goals | 2.69 | 34.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Sunderland over 1.5 team goals | 2.61 | 35.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +2.0 pts |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +3.1 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.95 · 0-1 7.70 · 1-0 7.89 · 0-0 8.66 · 1-2 9.74
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 16:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).