QPR 0–0 Bolton
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.49–0.04.
The brain read
QPR created the better chances — the xG read 0.5–0 and the shot count agreed (6–1, 4–0 on target). QPR got into the box far more often (5 shots inside it to 1). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created QPR shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance QPR or draw | 1.23 | 76.1% | +1.1 pts |
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 1.89 | 49.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.26 | 74.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — QPR | 1.37 | 67.3% | +1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Bolton | 2.83 | 32.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 73.7% | +1.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 50.6% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.14 | 29.8% | +0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 | 53.0% | +0.4 pts |
| QPR over 1.5 team goals | 1.90 | 49.1% | +1.3 pts |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 3.20 | 29.2% | -0.2 pts |
| QPR clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Bolton clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | -0.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.48 · 1-0 7.05 · 2-1 7.88 · 2-0 8.78 · 0-0 10.05
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 15:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).