Saint Etienne 4–0 Grenoble
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 12–2, 5–1 on target, 5–1 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Saint Etienne held 66% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 Maxime Bernauer (M)
- 7 Irvin Cardona (F)
- 8 Thierno Ballo (M)
- 10 Jakob Breum (M)
- 14 Áron Csongvai (M)
- 16 Tamar Svetlin (D)
- 18 Sohaib Nair (D)
- 20 Augustine Boakye (M)
- 23 Kevin Pedro (D)
- 26 Julien Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 Gautier Larsonneur (G)
Bench: Mamour Ndiaye, Nathan Kasia Nkondo, Strahinja Stojković, Adam Baallal, Modibo Sissoko, Joshua Duffus, Lucas Stassin, Zuriko Davitashvili
Grenoble 4-1-4-1
- 1 Alexandre Olliero (G)
- 5 Clément Vidal (D)
- 6 Yohann Magnin (M)
- 7 Yadaly Diaby (M)
- 10 Baptiste Mouazan (M)
- 14 Mael Corboz (M)
- 19 Nesta Zahui (D)
- 27 Matthéo Xantippe (D)
- 33 Efe Sarıkaya (D)
- 47 Kyliann Fofana (F)
- 92 Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro (M)
Bench: Bobby Allain, Mathieu Mion, Sakhalou Niakaté, Dillon Hoogewerf, Lucas Bernadou, Samba Diba, Jules Mouton, Ugo Bonnet, Leonardo Cerri
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.06 | 88.3% | +1.7 pts |
| Double chance Grenoble or draw | 3.06 | 30.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.16 | 81.0% | +0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.10 | 84.8% | +2.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Grenoble | 6.14 | 15.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 76.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 53.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 33.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.04 | 45.4% | -4.5 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.48 | 63.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Grenoble over 1.5 team goals | 5.29 | 17.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Grenoble clean sheet | 7.00 | 13.6% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-0 6.09 · 1-0 6.25 · 2-1 7.95 · 3-0 8.38 · 1-1 8.56
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).