Swansea 0–0 Sheffield Utd
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.33–0.61.
What the model expected
Its probabilities for this match, logged before kick-off and never changed. The result is highlighted.
Before kick-off the model favoured Sheffield Utd to win (36%); it finished with the draw. A miss — it gave the actual result 29% beforehand.
One match tells you nothing on its own — whether these percentages are any good is the whole point of the calibration page, where every one of them is scored.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.3–0.6, shots 4–7 with 0–1 on target. Swansea held 67% of the ball. A 0–0 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Swansea or draw | 1.41 | 66.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 1.52 | 61.6% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 71.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Swansea | 1.75 | 53.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sheffield Utd | 2.00 | 46.7% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 73.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 50.4% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 30.1% | +0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.66 | 55.9% | +0.4 pts |
| Swansea over 1.5 team goals | 2.26 | 41.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 2.47 | 37.8% | +0.6 pts |
| Swansea clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -0.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.11 · 1-0 8.34 · 2-1 8.87 · 0-1 8.99 · 1-2 9.62
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 16:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 26 | Sheffield Utd | 3-3 | Swansea |
| 16 Aug 25 | Swansea | 1-0 | Sheffield Utd |