FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Championship · Sat 22 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC

West Ham 01 Charlton

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What the chances were worth

West Ham
0.25
expected goals (xG)
Charlton
0.32
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.25–0.32.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.2–0.3, shots 4–4 with 0–2 on target. West Ham held 70% of the ball. On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–1 suggests.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

West Ham
Charlton
70%
Ball Possession
30%
4
Total Shots
4
0
Shots on Goal
2
1
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
0
2
Shots inside box
2
2
Shots outside box
2
0.25
Expected goals (xG)
0.32
1
Corner Kicks
2
154
Total passes
63
141
Passes accurate
48
92%
Passes %
76%
3
Fouls
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
0.00
Goals prevented
0.00

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

West Ham
69%
market implied · price 1.37 · opened 69%
Draw
19%
market implied · price 4.91 · opened 19%
Charlton
12%
market implied · price 7.62 · opened 12%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance West Ham or draw1.0886.9%-1.1 pts
Double chance Charlton or draw2.9631.8%+1.4 pts
Double chance either team1.1681.3%-0.3 pts
Draw no bet — West Ham1.1183.7%-1.4 pts
Draw no bet — Charlton5.6816.3%+1.4 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2078.2%+0.4 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.6656.9%+0.1 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.6235.8%+0.3 pts
Both teams to score1.8949.1%+0.8 pts
West Ham over 1.5 team goals1.4664.1%-0.5 pts
Charlton over 1.5 team goals4.6919.8%+0.7 pts
West Ham clean sheet2.0046.4%-1.7 pts
Charlton clean sheet8.0011.9%-0.6 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-0 6.47 · 1-0 6.79 · 2-1 7.86 · 1-1 8.65 · 3-0 8.83

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 15:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.