Cesena 1–1 Sampdoria
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.03–1.05.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1–1.1, shots 6–20 with 2–8 on target. Sampdoria got into the box far more often (11 shots inside it to 4) and Sampdoria held 64% of the ball. A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Cesena or draw | 1.41 | 66.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Double chance Sampdoria or draw | 1.48 | 63.3% | +2.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cesena | 1.78 | 52.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sampdoria | 1.95 | 47.7% | +1.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 71.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.45 | 27.0% | +0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 53.5% | +0.3 pts |
| Cesena over 1.5 team goals | 2.44 | 38.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Sampdoria over 1.5 team goals | 2.58 | 36.1% | +1.1 pts |
| Cesena clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
| Sampdoria clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.71 · 1-0 7.90 · 0-1 8.09 · 0-0 8.63 · 2-1 9.21
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-23 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | Cesena | 0-0 | Sampdoria |
| 13 Sep 25 | Sampdoria | 1-2 | Cesena |