Eibar 1–0 Valladolid
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.54–0.46.
The brain read
The xG read 1.5–0.5 in Eibar's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 10–8 overall and 1–3 on target went Valladolid's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.23 | 76.0% | +3.1 pts |
| Double chance Valladolid or draw | 1.70 | 54.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.35 | 69.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 1.43 | 64.9% | +4.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Valladolid | 2.64 | 35.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.45 | 64.3% | -2.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.43 | 38.8% | -3.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.67 | 20.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.04 | 45.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 2.41 | 38.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Valladolid over 1.5 team goals | 3.92 | 23.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +4.9 pts |
| Valladolid clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.44 · 1-1 5.52 · 0-0 6.50 · 0-1 8.24 · 2-0 8.34
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-23 17:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 26 | Valladolid | 0-0 | Eibar |
| 19 Dec 25 | Eibar | 3-0 | Valladolid |